Media by Associated Press – Washington Commanders quarterback Taylor Heinicke in action during an NFL football game, Monday, Nov. 14, 2022, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
The final weekend of the NFL season before Thanksgiving is upon us. Next week will have three Thanksgiving games on Thursday and no teams on a bye. This week there are four teams on Bye Week, including the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Seattle Seahawks, as they return from Germany.
The Miami Dolphins and Jacksonville Jaguars also have the week off, meaning there are no games in Florida this week. Also, with a blizzard allegedly heading to Buffalo, the Bills’ home game against Cleveland has been moved to Detroit for Sunday. Let’s take a look at putting together a three-team parlay for Week 11.
Washington Commanders -3
The Commanders knocked off Philadelphia on Monday as 11-point road underdogs, and they are now 5-1 in the last six games. The Commanders head to Houston as 3-point favorites against the 1-7-1 Texans. Washington will stick with quarterback Taylor Heinicke this week as Carson Wentz returns from injury.
Washington hasn’t been road favorites much in recent memory, with a 7-3 record as road favorites in their last 10. Heinicke is 3-1 as the starter, and Houston has given up at least 24 points in three of the last four games. The Texans haven’t stayed within three points of any team since losing at Chicago 23-20 in Week 3.
Heinicke has nice chemistry with Terry McLaurin, who had eight catches for 128 yards on Monday night. Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson both scored against the Eagles and ran for a combined 130 yards; Washington has multiple weapons to go after Houston, and the defense should have its way with the Texans on Sunday.
San Francisco 49ers -8
After winning at home on Sunday Night Football, the San Francisco 49ers get another prime-time game this week with a Monday Night game against Arizona. While they will be the road team, this is technically a neutral site game with a kickoff at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. The stadium is 2,000 feet higher than Mile High Stadium in Denver and will challenge both teams.
San Francisco is training in Colorado all week, while Arizona stays at home until heading to Mexico City. This will be the third game away from home in four weeks for the Cardinals, and they are 2-4 in their last six games. They also have gone through injuries and didn’t have QB Kyler Murray last week, and his status is questionable for Monday.
Meanwhile, the 49ers have won two straight games with a 31-14 win over the Rams and a 22-16 win over the Chargers. Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 240 yards on Sunday night, and Christian McCaffrey found the end zone as well.
Shanahan has not fared well against Arizona since joining the 49ers. He has a 3-7 record against the NFC West foes but now has McCaffrey with a healthy Deebo Samuel, and the offense is on the verge of taking off.
If Murray doesn’t play and Colt McCoy is under center, the Niners at -8 is a bargain.
New England Patriots -3
The New England Patriots and New York Jets are both coming out of the bye as they meet up at Gillette Stadium Sunday. Last year the Jets played New England after the bye and lost by 41. New England is favored by three as both teams look to stay in the AFC East race.
Look for the Patriots to pound the ball on the ground. They beat the Jets on the road 22-17 last month while rushing for 127 yards, 71 from Rhamondre Stevenson. The Jets have allowed 366 yards on the ground in the last three games.
The Patriots harassed QB Zach Wilson all game in October with three interceptions and two sacks while holding him to under 50% completion rate. The Jets also ran for just 51 yards in the loss.
The Patriots have won four of their last five games, and they have allowed more than 17 points in just one of those games. The Jets haven’t scored more than 20 in their last three games, and their offense hasn’t been able to get on track. The pass defense has been great, but if they give up control of the ball and run the game to the Pats, it will be a long day on the road.
Parlay Pick
- Washington -3 (-115)
- San Francisco -8 (-110)
- New England -3 (-110)
Parlay: +581
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