Padres vs. Mets Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – August 23, 2024

Coming off of a 2-1 series win over the Twins, the San Diego Padres (72-56) are -139 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a four-game series against the New York Mets (66-61). The series begins at PETCO Park, starting on Friday at 9:40 p.m. ET on SNY. San Diego’s Joe Musgrove gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Paul Blackburn.

Be sure to check out our betting primer for this matchup, and discover all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Moneyline

Padres to win vs Mets -139

Bet $20, Payout $34.39

Padres vs. Mets Betting Lines

  • Favorite: Padres (-139)
  • Underdog: Mets (+118)
  • Over/under: 8

Padres vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Padres have won in 46, or 58.2%, of the 79 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • San Diego has a record of 27-18 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -139 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 58.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • The Mets have a 21-27 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.8% of those games).
  • New York is 10-9 (winning 52.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +118 or longer.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Mets a 45.9% chance to win.

Padres vs. Mets Hitting Leaders

  • Jurickson Profar is batting .289 this season with a team-high 20 home runs and 76 RBI.
  • Including all hitters in MLB, Profar is 36th in homers and 22nd in RBI.
  • Jackson Merrill is batting .291 with an OBP of .322 and a slugging percentage of .491 this season.
  • Francisco Lindor has racked up a team-best batting average of .266 while pacing the Mets in runs batted in (73).
  • In all of the majors, Lindor is 19th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has shown his power as he leads his team with 27 home runs.

Padres vs. Mets Pitching Rankings

  • The Padres average 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, fourth-most in the league.
  • The Padres have the 15th-ranked ERA (4.00) in the majors this season.
  • The Padres have a combined WHIP of just 1.235 as a pitching staff, which is the 10th-best in baseball this season.
  • The nine strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks fifth in MLB.
  • New York has a 4.14 team ERA that ranks 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.
  • The Mets average MLB’s 21st-ranked WHIP (1.295).