
Data Skrive:
The No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (29-4) will aim to beat the No. 16 seed Grambling Tigers (21-14) in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. This matchup tips off at 7:25 PM ET.
The Boilermakers are a heavy favorite against the Tigers when the Boilermakers and the Tigers meet. The Boilermakers are favored by 27 points. The matchup’s over/under is set at 139.
Here is our betting preview for this contest, and find all of our NCAA predictions, too!
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Bet $20, Payout $38.52
Purdue Cover -27 vs Grambling -108
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Grambling Tigers Betting Lines and Game Info
- Game Day: Friday, March 22, 2024
- Game Time: 7:25 PM ET
- Spread: Purdue -27
- Total: 139
- Moneyline: Purdue -8525, Grambling +2408
Purdue vs. Grambling Betting Statistics
- Grambling (18-14-0 ATS) has covered the spread 51.5% of the time, 4.7% more often than Purdue (17-15-1) this year.
- The Boilermakers cover the spread when they’re 27-point favorites or more 75% of the time. That’s more often than the Tigers cover as underdogs by 27 or more (never covered this season).
- Purdue has an .852 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (23-4) this season while Grambling has a .444 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (8-10).
- Boilermakers games have gone over the total 66.7% of the time this season (22 out of 33), which is more often than Tigers games have (16 out of 32).
- Purdue has covered the spread in the same percentage of games at home as away games (50%). It has covered eight times in 16 games at home and five times in 10 games when playing on the road.
- Against the spread, Grambling has had better results on the road (9-7-0) than at home (4-5-0).
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Purdue Top Players and Trends
- The Boilermakers have a +437 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.2 points per game. They’re putting up 83.4 points per game to rank 12th in college basketball and are allowing 70.2 per outing to rank 120th in college basketball.
- The 40.4 rebounds per game Purdue averages rank 11th in the nation, and are 10.7 more than the 29.7 its opponents collect per contest.
- The Boilermakers make 8.3 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball), 1.0 more than their opponents (7.3).
- Zach Edey paces the Boilermakers with 24.4 points per contest (first in the country) and 11.7 rebounds (third in the country), while also putting up 2.1 assists.
- Braden Smith is tops on the Boilermakers at 7.3 assists per contest, while also posting 5.8 rebounds and 12.5 points. He is fourth in college basketball in assists.
- Lance Jones averages 12.2 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2 assists per game, shooting 41.3% from the floor and 35.4% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game.
- Fletcher Loyer averages 10.4 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0 blocked shots.
Grambling Top Players and Trends
- The Tigers have a -42 scoring differential, falling short by 1.2 points per game. They’re putting up 68.2 points per game, 311th in college basketball, and are allowing 69.4 per contest to rank 100th in college basketball.
- Grambling grabs 32.4 rebounds per game (329th in college basketball), compared to the 33 of its opponents.
- The Tigers hit 5.2 three-pointers per game (347th in college basketball) at a 34% rate (182nd in college basketball), compared to the 6.7 per contest their opponents make, shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc.
- Tra’Michael Moton leads the Tigers in assists (2.7 per game), and produces 11.6 points and 2.9 rebounds. He also puts up 1.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
- Kintavious Dozier is putting up team highs in points (12.9 per game) and assists (1). And he is contributing 3 rebounds, making 45.1% of his shots from the floor and 32.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 triples per contest.
- Jourdan Smith gives the Tigers 10 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. He also averages 1 steal and 1.1 blocked shots.
- Antwan Barnett is the Tigers’ top rebounder (6.1 per game), and he contributes 10.4 points and 1.6 assists.