Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – September 7, 2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (85-56) will put their six-game win streak to the test when they visit the Miami Marlins (52-89) Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET on NBCS-PH. Sportsbooks consider the Phillies -238 favorites to extend their streak, while the Marlins are +192 underdogs looking for the upset. Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Darren McCaughan.

Here is our betting primer for this game, and find all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Lines

• Favorite: Phillies (-238)
• Underdog: Marlins (+192)
• Over/under: 8.5

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won in 70, or 63.1%, of the 111 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season Philadelphia has been victorious 11 times in 15 chances when named as a favorite of at least -238 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 70.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog 124 total times this season. They’ve gone 48-76 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +192 or longer, Miami has a 7-13 record (winning just 35% of its games).
• The Marlins have a 34.2% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Phillies vs. Marlins Hitting Leaders

• Kyle Schwarber is batting .249 this season with a team-high 33 home runs and 92 RBI.
• Schwarber’s home runs rank him ninth in MLB, and he ranks 13th in RBI.
• Bryce Harper has 135 hits and an OBP of .373 to go with a slugging percentage of .521 this season.
• Jake Burger has put up a team-best batting average of .246, while leading the Marlins in home runs (25) and runs batted in (60).
• Burger’s home run total ranks 23rd in the majors, and he is 82nd in RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez is hitting .245 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 29 walks.

Phillies vs. Marlins Pitching Rankings

• The Phillies average 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-most in the league.
• The Phillies have the fourth-best ERA (3.67) in the majors this season.
• Phillies pitchers have a 1.202 WHIP this season, fourth-best in the majors.
• The Marlins pitching staff ranks 20th in MLB with a collective 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
• Miami has a 4.79 team ERA that ranks 28th across all MLB pitching staffs.
• The Marlins average MLB’s third-worst WHIP (1.393).