North Carolina vs. Michigan State NCAA tournament Second Round betting odds and trends for March 23

The No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (28-7) will try to advance to the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament when they meet the No. 9 seed Michigan State Spartans (20-14) on Saturday at 5:30 PM ET.

The Tar Heels enter their game as a 4-point favorite against the Spartans. The game’s point total is set at 143.5.

Take a look at our preview for this contest, and discover all of our NCAA picks, too!

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North Carolina Cover -4 vs Michigan State -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Michigan State Spartans Betting Lines and Game Info

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 23, 2024
  • Game Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Spread: North Carolina -4
  • Total: 143.5
  • Moneyline: North Carolina -197, Michigan State +162
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

North Carolina vs. Michigan State Betting Statistics

  • Michigan State’s .588 ATS win percentage (20-14-0 ATS record) is higher than North Carolina’s .571 mark (20-15-0 ATS record) in 2023-24.
  • As 4-point favorites or more in 2023-24, the Tar Heels are 14-11 against the spread compared to the 2-2 ATS record the Spartans put up as 4-point underdogs.
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, North Carolina is 25-6, a better tally than Michigan State has recorded (1-6) as a moneyline underdog.
  • The Spartans and their opponents have eclipsed the over/under 41.2% of the time this season (14 out of 34). That’s less often than the Tar Heels and their opponents have (18 out of 35).
  • North Carolina has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered eight times in 15 games at home, and it has covered seven times in 10 games when playing on the road.
  • This year, Michigan State is 11-7-0 at home against the spread (.611 winning percentage). On the road, it is 5-5-0 ATS (.500).

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North Carolina Top Players and Trends

  • The Tar Heels have a +410 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.7 points per game. They’re putting up 81.7 points per game to rank 20th in college basketball and are giving up 70.0 per outing to rank 113th in college basketball.
  • North Carolina is seventh in the nation at 41.2 rebounds per game. That’s 7.7 more than the 33.5 its opponents average.
  • The Tar Heels make 8.0 three-pointers per game (119th in college basketball) at a 35.7% rate (83rd in college basketball), compared to the 7.0 their opponents make while shooting 31.6% from deep.
  • RJ Davis leads the Tar Heels at 21.4 points per game, while also averaging 3.5 assists and 3.7 rebounds. He is 10th in the country in scoring.
  • Armando Bacot leads his team in rebounds per game (10.3), and also averages 14.3 points and 1.5 assists. Defensively, he posts 0.6 steals and 1.4 blocked shots.
  • Ingram Harrison averages 12.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game, shooting 42.7% from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Cormac Ryan averages 11.3 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 38.0% from the floor and 34.2% from beyond the arc with 2.0 made 3-pointers per game.

Michigan State Top Players and Trends

  • The Spartans’ +255 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 73.0 points per game (192nd in college basketball) while giving up 65.5 per contest (19th in college basketball).
  • Michigan State records 34.6 rebounds per game (218th in college basketball), compared to the 33.6 of its opponents.
  • The Spartans hit 6.5 three-pointers per game (265th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 7.4 on average.
  • Tyson Walker is the Spartans’ top scorer (18.2 points per game), and he produces 2.9 assists and 2.9 rebounds.
  • A.J Hoggard paces the Spartans in assists (5.3 per game), and averages 10.9 points and 3.1 rebounds. He also delivers 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
  • Malik Hall leads the Spartans in rebounding (5.6 per game), and produces 12.5 points and 1.9 assists. He also puts up 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
  • The Spartans receive 10.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game from Jaden.