Twins vs. Brewers Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – July 21, 2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (56-42) seek to complete a series sweep as they take a 1-0 lead into the finale versus the Minnesota Twins (54-43) at 1:05 PM ET on Sunday from Target Field. The Twins are favored (-159) by bookmakers to prevent the sweep and pick up their first win of the series. Joe Ryan will get the ball for Minnesota while Milwaukee will counter with Aaron Civale.

Here is our betting primer for this contest, and discover all of our MLB picks, too!

Twins vs. Brewers Betting Lines

• Favorite: Twins (-159)
• Underdog: Brewers (+135)
• Over/under: 8

Twins vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 67 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (62.7%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has a record of 24-11 when favored by -159 or more this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 61.4% chance of pulling out a win.
• The Brewers have been the moneyline underdog 44 total times this season. They’ve gone 22-22 in those games.
• Milwaukee has a record of 3-7 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +135 or longer (30%).
• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Brewers have an implied win probability of 42.6%.

Twins vs. Brewers Hitting Leaders

• Carlos Santana leads Minnesota with 14 home runs this season. He’s batting .244 with 43 RBI.
• Santana ranks 53rd in home runs and 79th in RBI among all hitters in Major League Baseball.
• Willi Castro has collected 91 hits this season and has an OBP of .349. He’s slugging .420 on the year.
• William Contreras is hitting .287 with 23 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 37 walks.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Contreras’ home run total puts him 92nd, and his RBI total ranks 31st.
• Willy Adames has hit 15 home runs with 67 runs batted in. Both pace his team.

Twins vs. Brewers Pitching Rankings

• The Twins strike out 9.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, first-best in MLB.
• The Twins have the 18th-ranked ERA (4.12) in the majors this season.
• The Twins have a combined WHIP of just 1.180 as a pitching staff, which is the third-best in baseball this season.
• The pitching staff for the Brewers has a collective 8.1 K/9, the fifth-worst in MLB.
• Milwaukee has a 3.78 team ERA that ranks 10th among all MLB pitching staffs.
• The Brewers have the 11th-ranked WHIP in the majors (1.248).