Twins vs. Marlins Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – September 26, 2024

The Minnesota Twins (82-76) and the Miami Marlins (58-100) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Thursday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Twins are -249 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Marlins (+203). David Festa starts for Minnesota while Valente Bellozo is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Be sure to check out our betting primer for this contest, and uncover all of our MLB betting picks, too!

Twins vs. Marlins Betting Lines

• Favorite: Twins (-249)
• Underdog: Marlins (+203)
• Over/under: 8.5

Twins vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 109 games this season and have come away with the win 63 times (57.8%) in those contests.
• This year Minnesota has won nine of 10 games when listed as at least -249 on the moneyline.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 71.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• The Marlins have a 54-87 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 38.3% of those games).
• Miami is 7-13 (winning only 35% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +203 or longer.
• The Marlins have a 33% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Twins vs. Marlins Hitting Leaders

• Carlos Santana leads Minnesota in home runs (22) and runs batted in (68) this season while batting .234.
• Including all hitters in baseball, Santana is 54th in homers and 75th in RBI.
• Willi Castro leads Minnesota in batting with a .250 average while slugging 12 homers and driving in 59 runs.
• Jake Burger paces the Marlins with 29 home runs and 72 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-high batting average of .247.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Burger is 23rd in homers and 64th in RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez has a club-high .247 batting average.

Twins vs. Marlins Pitching Rankings

• The Twins average 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, second-most in the league.
• The Twins have pitched to a 4.21 ERA this season, which ranks 21st in baseball.
• The Twins have a combined WHIP of just 1.216 as a pitching staff, which is the sixth-best in baseball this season.
• The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 8.3 K/9, which ranks 23rd in MLB.
• Miami has the 29th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.80).
• The Marlins have the third-highest WHIP in baseball (1.386).