Twins vs. Tigers Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – July 4, 2024

The Minnesota Twins (48-38) hope to avoid an upset as -193 favorites when they take on Carson Kelly (with homers in two straight contests) and the Detroit Tigers (39-47). First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET Thursday, live from Target Field and airing on BSN. Bailey Ober takes the mound for Minnesota while Kenta Maeda is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Take a look at our betting preview for this tilt, and uncover all of our MLB betting picks, too!

Twins vs. Tigers Betting Lines

• Favorite: Twins (-193)
• Underdog: Tigers (+162)
• Over/under: 8.5

Twins vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• The Twins have won in 37, or 63.8%, of the 58 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season Minnesota has come away with a win nine times in 10 chances when named as a favorite of at least -193 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 65.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• The Tigers have a 19-26 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.2% of those games).
• Detroit has played as a moneyline underdog of +162 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.
• The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Tigers a 38.2% chance to win.

Twins vs. Tigers Hitting Leaders

• Carlos Correa leads Minnesota in batting average (.310) this season while adding 10 home runs and 41 RBI.
• Of all MLB hitters, Correa is seventh in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging.
• Carlos Santana has 69 hits and an OBP of .325 to go with a slugging percentage of .430 this season.
• Riley Greene paces the Tigers with 16 home runs and 43 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-best batting average of .260.
• In all of MLB, Greene ranks 21st in homers and 45th in RBI.
• Matthew Vierling has 10 doubles, five triples, 11 home runs and 13 walks while batting .249.

Twins vs. Tigers Pitching Rankings

• The Twins average 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, first-most in the league.
• The Twins have pitched to a 4.14 ERA this season, which ranks 20th in baseball.
• The Twins have a combined WHIP of just 1.185 as a pitching staff, which is the fifth-best in baseball this season.
• The Tigers pitching staff ranks eighth in the majors with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.
• Detroit’s 3.92 team ERA ranks 13th among all MLB pitching staffs.
• The Tigers have the 10th-lowest WHIP in the majors (1.219).