Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA Playoffs Game 4 betting odds and trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves are slight 3.5-point favorites in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Sunday, tipping off at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The Timberwolves hold a 2-1 lead in the series. The matchup’s over/under is 204.5.

Be sure to check out our betting preview for this tilt, and find all of our NBA predictions, too!

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Timberwolves Cover -3.5 vs Nuggets -114

Bet $20, Payout $37.54

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Lines and Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, May 12, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center
  • Favorite: Timberwolves (-3.5)
  • Total: 204.5

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Statistics

  • In the Timberwolves’ 82 games this season, they have 40 wins against the spread.
  • So far this season, Minnesota has been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more 47 times and are 22-24-1 ATS in those games.
  • Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 41 out of 82 opportunities (50%).
  • The Nuggets have 38 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
  • Denver has been underdogs by 3.5 points or more four times this season and are 3-1 ATS in those games.
  • Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 35 of 82 set point totals (42.7%).

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Timberwolves Trends & Top Players

  • The Timberwolves are shooting 48.5% from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points higher than the 46.2% the Nuggets allow to opponents.
  • In games Minnesota shoots higher than 46.2% from the field, it is 36-23-1 against the spread and 47-13 overall.
  • Minnesota is 27-24-3 against the spread and 40-14 overall when it shoots better than 35.5% from distance.
  • The 113 points per game the Timberwolves average are just 3.4 more points than the Nuggets allow (109.6).
  • Minnesota is 35-17-1 against the spread and 43-10 overall when scoring more than 109.6 points.
  • The Timberwolves active scoring leader is Anthony Edwards, who averages 25.9 per contest to go with 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists.
  • Mike Conley contributes with 11.4 points, 5.9 assists and 2.9 rebounds per game, and Rudy Gobert adds 14 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per outing.
  • Edwards makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Timberwolves, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.4 per contest.

Nuggets Trends & Top Players

  • The Nuggets’ 49.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 4.6 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have given up to their opponents (45%).
  • This season, Denver has a 37-25-2 record against the spread and a 53-11 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 45% from the field.
  • Denver is 29-18-1 against the spread and 37-11 overall when shooting over 35.4% as a team from three-point range.
  • The Nuggets’ 114.9 points per game are 8.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves give up to opponents.
  • Denver has put together a 35-26-2 ATS record and a 53-10 overall record in games it scores more than 106.5 points.
  • Nikola Jokic scores 26.4 points per game. He also grabs 12.4 rebounds and averages nine assists per game.
  • Michael Porter Jr. is the top shooter from distance for the Nuggets (among active players), hitting 2.7 threes per game.