Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card Series Game 3 Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – October 3, 2024

The NL Wild Card Series culminates on Thursday at 7:08 p.m. ET when the Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets live on ESPN from American Family Field. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to advance to the NLDS. Tobias Myers will get the ball for Milwaukee while New York will counter with Jose Quintana. The Brewers are -123 favorites on the moneyline to win this contest with the Mets (+104).

Be sure to check out our betting primer for this game, and discover all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Odds to Win

Brewers to win vs Mets -123

Bet $20, Payout $36.26

Brewers vs. Mets Betting Lines

  • Favorite: Brewers (-123)
  • Underdog: Mets (+104)
  • Over/under: 7.5

Brewers vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have won in 55, or 59.1%, of the 93 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • This season Milwaukee has come away with a win 43 times in 68 chances when named as a favorite of at least -123 on the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 55.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • The Mets have compiled a 29-36 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.6% of those games).
  • New York is 22-24 (winning 47.8% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +104 or longer.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 49%.

Brewers vs. Mets Hitting Leaders

  • William Contreras leads Milwaukee in batting average (.281) this season while adding 23 home runs and 92 RBI.
  • Contreras’ home runs rank him 49th in Major League Baseball, and he ranks 22nd in RBI.
  • Willy Adames leads Milwaukee in home runs (32) and runs batted in (112) this season while batting .251.
  • Francisco Lindor leads the Mets in runs batted in (91) and has put up a team-high batting average of .273.
  • Lindor’s home run total ranks 14th in the majors, and he is 25th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has put his power on display as he leads his team with 34 home runs.

Brewers vs. Mets Pitching Rankings

  • The Brewers average the 15th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the league this season.
  • The Brewers have the fifth-best ERA (3.65) in the majors this season.
  • Brewers pitchers have a 1.234 WHIP this season, ninth-best in the majors.
  • The Mets pitching staff ranks fourth in the majors with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • New York’s 3.96 team ERA ranks 15th across all MLB pitching staffs.
  • Pitchers for the Mets combine for the 18th-ranked WHIP in baseball (1.261).