Heat vs. Wizards NBA betting odds and trends for March 31

The Miami Heat (40-33) hit the road in Southeast Division play against the Washington Wizards (14-60) on Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET. The Heat are double-digit favorites by 11 points in the game, the fourth matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has an over/under set at 217 points.

Here is our betting primer for this matchup, and discover all of our NBA picks, too!

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Heat Cover -11 vs Wizards -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Heat vs. Wizards Betting Lines and Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 31, 2024
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MNMT and BSSUN
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Arena: Capital One Arena
  • Favorite: Heat (-11)
  • Total: 217
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Heat vs. Wizards Betting Statistics

  • The Heat have played 73 games, with 33 wins against the spread.
  • This season, Miami has just one ATS win in four games as a favorite of 11 points or more.
  • Heat games this year have hit the over on 27 of 74 set point totals.
  • The Wizards have played 74 games, with 34 wins against the spread.
  • Washington has an ATS record of 15-7 in its 22 games as an underdog of 11 points or more this season.
  • Wizards games this season have gone over the total in 36 of 74 opportunities (48.6%).

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Heat Trends & Top Players

  • The Heat make 46.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.3 percentage points lower than the Wizards have allowed to their opponents (49.7%).
  • Miami has a 12-5 record against the spread and a 15-2 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 49.7% from the field.
  • Miami has a 23-18 record against the spread and a 27-14 record overall when the team knocks down more than 36.2% of its three-point shots.
  • The 109.8 points per game the Heat record are 13.2 fewer points than the Wizards allow (123).
  • Miami is 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall when scoring more than 123 points.
  • Bam Adebayo puts up 19.7 points and 10.7 rebounds per game, with four assists.
  • The Heat get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Duncan Robinson.

Wizards Trends & Top Players

  • The Wizards have shot at a 46.9% rate from the field this season, 0.1 percentage points less than the 47% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
  • Washington is 22-17 against the spread and 11-28 overall when it shoots better than 47% from the field.
  • Washington has a 20-13 ATS record and is 8-25 straight-up when the team makes more than 35.9% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Wizards’ 113.4 points per game are only 4.9 more points than the 108.5 the Heat allow.
  • Washington is 26-22 against the spread and 13-35 overall when it scores more than 108.5 points.
  • Kyle Kuzma averages 22.2 points per game. He also collects 6.6 rebounds and averages 4.2 assists per game.
  • Jordan Poole also contributes 16.9 points, 2.6 rebounds and four assists per game, with Deni Avdija adding 14.1 points, seven rebounds and 3.8 assists per game.
  • Poole is consistent from three-point range with 2.3 made threes per game.