Astros vs. Marlins Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – July 11, 2024

The Houston Astros (48-44) will look to complete a series sweep as they take a 2-0 lead into their final matchup against the Miami Marlins (32-60) at 8:10 PM ET Thursday from Minute Maid Park. The Astros are favored (-197) by bookmakers. Jake Bloss will get the ball for Houston while Miami will counter with Roddery Munoz.

Check out our betting primer for this tilt, and find all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Astros vs. Marlins Betting Lines

• Favorite: Astros (-197)
• Underdog: Marlins (+163)
• Over/under: 8.5

Astros vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Astros have won in 36, or 53.7%, of the 67 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season Houston has come away with a win seven times in nine chances when named as a favorite of at least -197 on the moneyline.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 66.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog 76 total times this season. They’ve gone 28-48 in those games.
• Miami has a 5-17 record (winning just 22.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +163 or longer.
• The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Marlins a 38% chance to win.

Astros vs. Marlins Hitting Leaders

• Yordan Alvarez leads Houston in home runs (19) and runs batted in (51) this season while batting .297.
• Among hitters in Major League Baseball, Alvarez is 12th in homers and 34th in RBI.
• Jose Altuve leads Houston in batting with a .309 average while slugging 13 homers and driving in 41 runs.
• Jazz Chisholm paces the Marlins with a .256 batting average.
• Chisholm ranks 82nd in home runs and 77th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit 15 home runs with 43 runs batted in. Both pace his team.

Astros vs. Marlins Pitching Rankings

• The Astros strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-best in MLB.
• The Astros have the 17th-ranked ERA (4.10) in the majors this season.
• The Astros have a combined WHIP of 1.309 as a pitching staff, which ranks 22nd in MLB.
• The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 8.3 K/9, which ranks 22nd in the majors.
• Miami has the 27th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.57).
• The Marlins average MLB’s third-worst WHIP (1.368).