Tigers vs. Guardians ALDS Game 5 Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – October 12, 2024

The Detroit Tigers will visit the Cleveland Guardians in the fifth and final game of the ALDS on Saturday at 4:38 p.m. ET, live on Max from Progressive Field. The winner will advance to the ALCS after the teams split the first four games of the series. Neither team has named a starter for this contest. Bookmakers have installed the Guardians as +104 underdogs, while the Tigers are -124 favorites on the moneyline.

Here is our preview for this matchup, and find all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Moneyline

Tigers to win vs Guardians -124

Bet $20, Payout $36.13

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Lines

  • Favorite: Tigers (-124)
  • Underdog: Guardians (+104)
  • Over/under: 6

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been favorites in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (58.8%) in those contests.
  • Detroit has a record of 33-18 in contests when bookmakers favor them by -124 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 55.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • The Guardians have won 27 of the 59 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (45.8%).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +104 or longer, Cleveland has gone 13-27 (32.5%).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Guardians’ implied win probability is 49%.

Tigers vs. Guardians Hitting Leaders

  • Riley Greene leads Detroit in home runs with 24, runs batted in with 74 and his batting average of .262 is also best on his team.
  • Greene ranks 42nd in MLB in home runs, and 61st in RBI.
  • Matt Vierling has collected 133 hits this season and has an OBP of .312. He’s slugging .423 on the year.
  • Jose Ramirez has a team-best 39 home runs and 118 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Ramirez’s home run total puts him fifth, and his RBI total ranks third.
  • Josh Naylor has 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .243.

Tigers vs. Guardians Pitching Rankings

  • The Tigers average the 21st-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.4) in the league this season.
  • Tigers pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.62 this year, fourth-best in baseball.
  • The Tigers have a combined 1.164 WHIP as a pitching staff, second-lowest in MLB.
  • The Guardians pitching staff is ninth in the majors with a collective 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • Cleveland has the third-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.61).
  • Pitchers for the Guardians combine for the No. 4-ranked WHIP in MLB (1.202).