Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Game 1 betting odds and trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4.5-point underdogs for Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The point total for the matchup is 209.5.

Take a look at our betting primer for this game, and uncover all of our expert NBA picks, too!

Spread

Nuggets Cover -4.5 vs Timberwolves -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Lines and Game Info

  • Game Day: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT and truTV
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena
  • Favorite: Nuggets (-4.5)
  • Total: 209.5

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Statistics

  • The Nuggets have 38 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
  • So far this season, Denver has been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 54 times and are 25-26-3 ATS in those games.
  • Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in 35 out of 82 opportunities (42.7%).
  • The Timberwolves have played 82 games, with 40 wins against the spread.
  • Minnesota has an ATS record of 4-5 in its nine games when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
  • Timberwolves games this year have gone over the point total 41 times in 82 opportunities (50%).

Want to place a bet on the NBA tonight? Check out all of our reviews of legal New Jersey sportsbooks.

Nuggets Trends & Top Players

  • The Nuggets make 49.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is 4.6 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (45%).
  • Denver is 37-25-2 against the spread and 53-11 overall when it shoots higher than 45% from the field.
  • Denver is 29-18-1 against the spread and 37-11 overall when it shoots better than 35.4% from distance.
  • The Nuggets average 8.4 more points per game (114.9) than the Timberwolves give up (106.5).
  • Denver has a 35-26-2 record against the spread and a 53-10 record overall when putting up more than 106.5 points.
  • The Nuggets get 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9.0 assists from Nikola Jokic.
  • Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.7 per contest.

Timberwolves Trends & Top Players

  • The Timberwolves’ 48.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.3 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have given up to their opponents (46.2%).
  • Minnesota is 36-23-1 against the spread and 47-13 overall when it shoots better than 46.2% from the field.
  • Minnesota has a 27-24-3 ATS record and is 40-14 straight-up when the team hits more than 35.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Timberwolves score only 3.4 more points per game (113) than the Nuggets allow (109.6).
  • When it scores more than 109.6 points, Minnesota is 35-17-1 against the spread and 43-10 overall.
  • Anthony Edwards averages 25.9 points per game. He also collects 5.4 rebounds and dishes out 5.1 assists per game.
  • Rudy Gobert is on the books for 14.0 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, while Mike Conley adds 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game.
  • Edwards is consistent from distance with 2.4 made threes per game.