The torch has already been passed in the AFC East as the record-streak of division titles for the New England Patriots (6-8) ended at the hands of the Buffalo Bills (11-3). The two rivals end Week 16 by going head-to-head with the Bills looking to add to the Patriots 2020 misery. The Monday night game kicks off at 8:15 pm ET on ESPN from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass.
The Bills beat the Patriots 24-21 at home on November 1, their first home win over Bill Belichick since 2011. The Patriots were 17-3 against the Bills last decade and hold a 16-2 record against Buffalo at Gillette Stadium, which opened in 2002. Overall the Patriots lead the series 76-44-1 with a 35-6 mark since 2000.
Buffalo Bills Betting Outlook: Let Allen Dominate
The Bills are 9-5 ATS this season, and the over is 9-4-1 in their 14 games. Buffalo’s offense ranks fifth in the NFL in total yards (387 yards per game), third in passing (279 yards per game), and sixth in scoring (29.1 points per game). The defense is 15th against the pass, 20th against the run, and 17th in scoring defense.
In the November matchup, the Bills threw for just 154 yards but ran for a season-best 190 yards and three touchdowns. They turned the ball over one time and won the game on a field goal with just over four minutes remaining.
Quarterback Josh Allen has thrown for exactly 4,000 yards with 30 touchdowns and nine interceptions on the season. He has added 383 rushing yards and leads the team with eight touchdowns.
Running back Devin Singletary ran for 86 yards against the Pats in November. He has 644 yards and two scores, while Zack Moss has 416 yards and three touchdowns.
Wideout Stefon Diggs leads the Bills with 111 catches and 1,314 yards. Tight end Garbiel Davis leads the Bills with six touchdown catches while Cole Beasley has 79 catches for 950 yards and four touchdowns.
New England Patriots Betting Preview: Looking for Motivation
New England is 6-8 ATS this season, and the under is 10-4 in their 14 games. The Patriots rush offense is fifth in the NFL at 145 yards per game, but the passing attack ranks 30th, and they are 27th in scoring (20.6 points per game). The defense has been excellent against the pass, ranking 5th (212 yards per game) and 6th in scoring defense (21.5 points per game), but they are 27th against the run (133 yards per game).
In the November game, the Patriots had 174 passing yards with 188 rushing yards and two touchdowns. They turned the ball over once on a fumble and allowed two sacks.
It has been five games since Cam Newton threw for over 200 yards. On the season, he has 2,381 passing yards with five touchdowns and ten interceptions. He leads the Patriots with 11 rushing scores to go with 489 yards.
In 10 games this season, Damien Harris has 691 rushing yards with two touchdowns. He missed last week’s game with an ankle injury but is expected to play Monday night.
The passing game has been completely hit or miss, but Jakobi Meyers leads the team with 49 receptions and 616 yards. Damiere Byrd has 45 catches for 590 yards, and running back James White has 42 catches for 321 yards.
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Betting Line
The Bills are -7 favorites at most books with a total of 46.5.
Betting Analysis
The underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings, and the road team is 21-8-2 ATS in the last 15 seasons. The under has hit in six straight Patriots games, and the way their offense has played recently, that trend is likely to continue.
Look for the Bills to run the ball like they did against New England in November and control the clock.
Free Pick: Under 46.5 points (-110)
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