Braves vs. Mets Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – September 30, 2024

The Atlanta Braves (88-72) will take on the New York Mets (88-72) Monday at 1:10 p.m. ET. Marcell Ozuna will be looking for his 40th home run of the season for the favored Braves (-154) when the game gets underway at Truist Park, live on ESPN2. Atlanta’s Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Tylor Megill.

Be sure to check out our betting primer for this game, and uncover all of our MLB betting picks, too!

Braves vs. Mets Betting Lines

• Favorite: Braves (-154)
• Underdog: Mets (+130)
• Over/under: 7.5

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 128 games this season and have come away with the win 73 times (57%) in those contests.
• This season Atlanta has come away with a win 46 times in 77 chances when named as a favorite of at least -154 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 60.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• The Mets are 27-34 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 44.3% of those games).
• New York has gone 8-6 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer (57.1%).
• The Mets have a 43.5% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Braves vs. Mets Hitting Leaders

• Ozuna leads Atlanta in home runs with 39, runs batted in with 102 and his batting average of .304 is also best on his team.
• Among hitters in Major League Baseball, Ozuna is fifth in home runs and 13th in RBI.
• Matt Olson is batting .247 with an OBP of .334 and a slugging percentage of .460 this season.
• Francisco Lindor has racked up a team-high batting average of .272 and paces the Mets in runs batted in (88).
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Lindor ranks 15th in homers and 27th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has put his power on display as he paces his team with 34 home runs and 88 RBI.

Braves vs. Mets Pitching Rankings

• The Braves strike out 9.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, first-best in MLB.
• The Braves have pitched to a 3.48 ERA this season, which ranks first in baseball.
• The Braves have a combined WHIP of just 1.201 as a pitching staff, which is the third-best in baseball this season.
• The 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Mets pitching staff ranks fourth in the majors.
• New York’s 3.94 team ERA ranks 14th among all MLB pitching staffs.
• The Mets have the 17th-ranked WHIP in MLB (1.257).