Braves vs. Mets Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – July 28, 2024

The Atlanta Braves (55-48), led by Marcell Ozuna on a two-game home run streak, are -110 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the New York Mets (55-49). First pitch is set for 1:40 PM ET Sunday, live from Citi Field and airing on BSSE. Reynaldo Lopez gets the starting nod for Atlanta while David Peterson is New York’s starter for the contest.

Take a look at our betting preview for this matchup, and discover all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Braves vs. Mets Betting Lines

• Favorite: Braves (-110)
• Underdog: Mets (-109)
• Over/under: 8

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 87 games this season and have come away with the win 49 times (56.3%) in those contests.
• Atlanta has a record of 50-39 when favored by -110 or more this year.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• The Mets are 21-23 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.7% of those games).
• New York is 20-22 (winning 47.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -109 or longer.
• The Mets have a 52.2% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Braves vs. Mets Hitting Leaders

• Ozuna leads Atlanta in batting average (.307), home runs (30) and runs batted in (82) this season.
• Among all MLB batters, Ozuna ranks seventh in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
• Austin Riley has 85 hits and an OBP of .319 to go with a slugging percentage of .442 this season.
• Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with 22 home runs while racking up a team-high batting average of .254.
• Lindor ranks 13th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Pete Alonso has 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 43 walks while batting .241.

Braves vs. Mets Pitching Rankings

• The Braves have a 9.2 K/9 this season as a staff, which is best in baseball.
• The Braves have the third-best ERA (3.50) in the majors this season.
• The Braves have a combined WHIP of just 1.189 as a pitching staff, which is the fourth-best in baseball this season.
• The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 8.9 K/9, the fifth-best in the majors.
• New York has a 4.15 team ERA that ranks 21st across all MLB pitching staffs.
• The Mets average MLB’s 22nd-ranked WHIP (1.304).