Braves vs. Mets Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – May 12, 2024

Two of the league’s top power hitters meet Sunday when the Atlanta Braves (24-12) and New York Mets (18-20) take the field at 7:10 PM ET, live on ESPN. Marcell Ozuna has 12 home runs for the Braves (-126 favorites on the moneyline) while Pete Alonso has four homers this season for the Mets (+106). Atlanta’s Bryce Elder and New York’s Luis Severino have been named the starters for this contest.

Be sure to check out our preview for this game, and discover all of our MLB picks, too!

Money Line

Braves to win vs Mets -126

Bet $20, Payout $35.87

Braves vs. Mets Betting Lines

  • Favorite: Braves (-126)
  • Underdog: Mets (+106)
  • Over/under: 7.5

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been chosen as favorites in 34 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (70.6%) in those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 22-9 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -126 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have an implied victory probability of 55.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • The Mets have been the moneyline underdog 18 total times this season. They’ve gone 7-11 in those games.
  • When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +106 or longer, New York has a 6-7 record (winning 46.2% of its games).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 48.5%.

Braves vs. Mets Hitting Leaders

  • Ozuna is batting .319 with 12 home runs and 38 RBI. All three of those stats are tops among Atlanta hitters this season.
  • Of all MLB batters, Ozuna is 11th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has 36 hits and an OBP of .359 to go with a slugging percentage of .357 this season.
  • Brandon Nimmo has racked up a team-best 25 runs batted in.
  • In all of MLB, Nimmo is 63rd in homers and 27th in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .207 with seven doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks.

Braves vs. Mets Pitching Rankings

  • The Braves have an 8.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 15th in the majors.
  • The Braves have pitched to a 3.45 ERA this season, which ranks ninth in baseball.
  • The Braves have a combined WHIP of just 1.201 as a pitching staff, which is the eighth-best in baseball this season.
  • The Mets pitching staff is third in MLB with a collective 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • New York has the 11th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.74).
  • The Mets have the 20th-ranked WHIP in baseball (1.313).