Braves vs. Mets Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – May 11, 2024

Two of the league’s top power hitters meet Saturday when the Atlanta Braves (23-12) and New York Mets (18-19) take the field at 4:10 PM ET, live on BSSE. Marcell Ozuna has 12 home runs for the Braves (-161 favorites on the moneyline) while Pete Alonso has four homers this season for the Mets (+134). Max Fried takes the mound for Atlanta while Christian Scott is New York’s starter for the contest.

Check out our betting preview for this contest, and discover all of our MLB betting picks, too!

Braves vs. Mets Betting Lines

• Favorite: Braves (-161)
• Underdog: Mets (+134)
• Over/under: 7.5

Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Braves have been chosen as favorites in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (69.7%) in those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 14-6 when favored by -161 or more this year.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 61.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline 17 total times this season. They’ve finished 7-10 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +134 or longer, New York has a 4-2 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
• The Mets have a 42.7% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Braves vs. Mets Hitting Leaders

• Ozuna is batting .313 with 12 home runs and 38 RBI. All three of those stats rank first among Atlanta hitters this season.
• Ozuna ranks first in home runs and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has 36 hits and an OBP of .364 to go with a slugging percentage of .367 this season.
• Brandon Nimmo has sent home a team-high 25 runs batted in.
• In all of MLB, Nimmo is 60th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .212 with seven doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks.

Braves vs. Mets Pitching Rankings

• The Braves have an 8.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 15th in the majors.
• The Braves have pitched to a 3.52 ERA this season, which ranks ninth in baseball.
• The Braves have a combined WHIP of just 1.210 as a pitching staff, which is the ninth-best in baseball this season.
• The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 9.2 K/9, the third-best in MLB.
• New York has a 3.73 team ERA that ranks 12th across all MLB pitching staffs.
• The Mets have the 21st-ranked WHIP in MLB (1.315).