Media by Associated Press – Houston Texans wide receiver Brandin Cooks (13) runs a pass route during an NFL game against the Washington Commanders on Sunday, November 20, 2022, in Houston. (AP Photo/Matt Patterson)
With three Thanksgiving games and another on Monday night, there are only 12 NFL games on Sunday this week. No teams are on the bye as all 32 are in action, jockeying for playoff positioning. Let’s take a look at a three-team parlay for the NFL to make some money.
Houston Texans +14
On the surface, this pick seems off the rails, as Houston is a bad football team, and the Miami Dolphins are in a playoff position. However, despite the Texans’ 1-8-1 overall record, they are 4-5-1 ATS this season. They also have only lost by more than 13 points once this season, 38-20, to the Raiders.
The Dolphins are 7-3 overall and 5-5 ATS. They could show some early rust coming off the Bye Week as they try to get back in sync on offense. Their 39-17 win over Cleveland on November 13 was their first win this season by more than 13 points.
Houston is making a quarterback change this week as they go from Davis Mills to Kyle Allen. Overall that may not make a huge difference in the long run, but it could give the Texans a shot in the arm this week as they try to upset the Dolphins.
Miami has a trip to San Francisco next week and could be looking past the Texans. They started very slow in Detroit and Chicago in recent weeks before having big second halves to get the wins. It is tough to cover 13.5 points when you start slow.
Arizona Cardinals +3
We are entering must-win territory for both the Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Chargers. Arizona will host the Chargers on Sunday with a 4-7 record that has them 2.5 games back in the NFC West race. The Chargers are 5-5, three games behind the Chiefs in the AFC West and one game back in the Wild Card race.
The Chargers are favored on the road despite losing the last two games overall to the 49ers and Chiefs. They have allowed 52 points in those two games and have scored more than 24 points just once in the last five games.
The Cardinals should get quarterback Kyler Murray back for this game and wideout Marquise Brown as well. Without Murray, Arizona scored just 10 points against San Francisco on Monday night in Mexico City. They did score 27 points to beat the Rams without him the week before, but Murray brings a new dimension back to the offense when healthy.
The run defense is key for the Cardinals. They are 4-0 when holding a team under 100 yards this season and 0-7 when they give up more than 100. The Chargers have topped 100 yards just once since October 9, as they ran for 115 last week against the Chiefs.
Titans +3
Tennessee is back home this week, and they have extra rest, having played, and won, in Green Bay last Thursday. At 7-3 overall, the Titans lead the AFC South by three games, and they are in a battle with Kansas City and Buffalo for the top seed. The Titans are 8-2 ATS this season and 3-1 overall at home.
The Bengals are 6-4 overall and 7-3 ATS. They eliminated the Titans from the playoffs last year with a 19-16 win in Nashville. Cincinnati is one game behind Baltimore in the AFC North and tied for the last playoff spot in the league.
The Titans rank second in the NFL against the run, and Cincinnati will likely be without Joe Mixon (concussion). The Tennessee defense is 30th against the pass, and Burrow had 355 yards last week and needs another big game this week. He could get Ja’Marr Chase back this week as well.
The Bengals’ defense is 17th against the run, and they will have their hands full with Derrick Henry. Ryan Tannehill got going against the Packers with 333 yards, two touchdowns, and a couple of big plays.
Tennessee has held their last seven opponents under 20 points, while the Bengals average 26.5 ppg. If the Titans run the ball and control the clock, they should cover and win this game.
Parlay Preview
- Houston Texans +14 (-115)
- Arizona Cardinals +3 (+100)
- Tennessee Titans +3 (+100)
Parlay: +613
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