Data Skrive:
A step back in 2024-25 is expected for the Dallas Mavericks after a 50-win 2023-24 campaign, as their over/under this year is set 0.5 wins lower, at 49.5, compared to their finish last year. They have -120 odds to hit the over.
Keep reading to check out our betting primer for this season, and find all of our expert picks here, too!
Betting Odds
Bet $20, Payout $36.67
Dallas Mavericks to win Over 49.5 games
Mavericks’ Projected Wins
| Our Predictions | Last Season Wins | NBA Championship Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | 62 | 64 |
“Our Predictions” predicts win totals based on a team strength powered algorithm, “Last Season Wins” predicts win total based on each team’s win total the previous season, and “NBA Championship Odds” picks a winner for each game based on current odds to win the NBA Championship.
Mavericks’ Schedule Strength
- Dallas has been given the 19th-ranked schedule this season (based on its opponents’ combined win total last year).
- The Mavericks will have the misfortune of facing the hardest schedule in the NBA, based on our predictions.
- Dallas will have the 20th-ranked schedule in the league, based on the projected win total of the team’s opponents this year (3176).
- According to the combined win total of Southwest Division opponents’ last year (556), Dallas get the benefit of the fourth-easiest divisional schedule in the league.
Mavericks’ Betting Stats (Last Season)
- Dallas went 37-12 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 75.5% of those games).
- The Mavericks were 48-34-0 against the spread last season.
- Dallas won 11, or 35.5%, of the 31 games they played as underdogs last season.
Mavericks Changes This Offseason
Additions
- Klay Thompson (G) | 2023-24 w/Warriors: 77 GP / 17.9 PPG / 3.3 RPG / 2.3 APG
- Spencer Dinwiddie (G) | 2023-24 w/Lakers: 76 GP / 10.5 PPG / 2.7 RPG / 4.7 APG
- Naji Marshall (F) | 2023-24 w/Pelicans: 66 GP / 7.1 PPG / 3.6 RPG / 1.9 APG
- Quentin Grimes (G) | 2023-24 w/Pistons: 51 GP / 7.0 PPG / 2.0 RPG / 1.3 APG
- Kessler Edwards (F) | 2023-24 w/Kings: 54 GP / 1.7 PPG / 0.8 RPG / 0.3 APG
Losses:
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (G-F) | 2023-24 Stats: 79 GP / 14.4 PPG / 3.2 RPG / 1.8 APG
- Derrick Jones Jr. (F) | 2023-24 Stats: 76 GP / 8.6 PPG / 3.3 RPG / 1.0 APG
- Josh Green (G) | 2023-24 Stats: 57 GP / 8.2 PPG / 3.2 RPG / 2.3 APG