Miami Heat 2025 Vegas Win Total Odds, Over/Under, Betting Insights

The Miami Heat have an over/under of 44.5 wins set for the upcoming 2024-25 NBA season after they won 46 games last season (46-36) but lost in the of the playoffs. They are -105 to go over and -115 to go under their win total in 2024-25.

Below you’ll find our preview for this season, and uncover all of our betting picks here, too!

Heat’s Projected Wins

“Our Predictions” predicts win totals based on a team strength powered algorithm, “Last Season Wins” predicts win total based on each team’s win total the previous season, and “NBA Championship Odds” picks a winner for each game based on current odds to win the NBA Championship.

Heat’s Schedule Strength

• In terms of difficulty, using its opponents’ combined win total last season, Miami has been handed the 23rd-ranked schedule this season.
• The Heat get the 23rd-ranked schedule in the NBA, based on our predictions.
• In terms of difficulty and using the projected win total of its opponents this season, Miami will take on the 23rd-ranked schedule this year.
• Miami gets to face the second-easiest divisional schedule this season (based on last year’s combined win total of Southeast Division opponents last year.)

Heat’s Betting Stats (Last Season)

• Miami was the moneyline favorite 47 total times last season. They finished 35-12 in those games.
• The Heat beat the spread 41 times in 82 games last year.
• Last season, Miami won 11 out of the 35 games, or 31.4%, in which it was the underdog.

Heat Changes This Offseason

Additions

• Alec Burks (G) | 2023-24 w/Knicks: 66 GP / 10.4 PPG / 2.3 RPG / 1.3 APG

Losses:

• Caleb Martin (F) | 2023-24 Stats: 64 GP / 10.0 PPG / 4.4 RPG / 2.2 APG
• Delon Wright (G) | 2023-24 Stats: 47 GP / 4.5 PPG / 1.8 RPG / 2.5 APG
• Orlando Robinson (C) | 2023-24 Stats: 36 GP / 2.8 PPG / 2.3 RPG / 0.9 APG
• Patty Mills (G) | 2023-24 Stats: 32 GP / 4.0 PPG / 1.1 RPG / 1.1 APG
• Jamal Cain (F) | 2023-24 Stats: 26 GP / 3.7 PPG / 1.4 RPG / 0.4 APG