Twins vs. Reds Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – September 15, 2024

Following a four-hit effort last time out, TJ Friedl leads the Cincinnati Reds (73-77) into action as +138 underdogs against the Minnesota Twins (78-70). First pitch from Target Field at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, live on Roku. David Festa takes the mound for Minnesota while Rhett Lowder is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Here is our betting primer for this matchup, and discover all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Twins vs. Reds Betting Lines

• Favorite: Twins (-164)
• Underdog: Reds (+138)
• Over/under: 8.5

Twins vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Twins have been chosen as favorites in 101 games this year and have walked away with the win 60 times (59.4%) in those games.
• This season Minnesota has come away with a win 31 times in 40 chances when named as a favorite of at least -164 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 62.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• The Reds have a 39-44 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47% of those games).
• Cincinnati has a 9-8 record (winning 52.9% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +138 or longer.
• The Reds have an implied moneyline win probability of 42% in this matchup.

Twins vs. Reds Hitting Leaders

• Carlos Santana leads Minnesota in home runs with 21 and runs batted in with 63.
• Santana ranks 51st in home runs and 76th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Willi Castro leads Minnesota in batting with a .248 average while slugging 11 homers and driving in 54 runs.
• Elly De La Cruz paces the Reds with 24 home runs and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .257.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, De La Cruz’s home run total puts him 32nd, and his RBI total ranks 57th.
• Spencer Steer has racked up 88 runs batted in to pace his team.

Twins vs. Reds Pitching Rankings

• The Twins strike out 9.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-best in MLB.
• The Twins have pitched to a 4.24 ERA this season, which ranks 21st in baseball.
• The Twins have a combined WHIP of just 1.201 as a pitching staff, which is the third-best in baseball this season.
• The Reds pitching staff ranks 11th in the majors with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.
• Cincinnati has a 4.04 team ERA that ranks 16th among all MLB pitching staffs.
• The Reds average baseball’s 12th-ranked WHIP (1.241).