Padres vs. Mets Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – August 25, 2024

The New York Mets (68-62) will lean on Francisco Lindor, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the San Diego Padres (73-58) on Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET on WPIX. The Mets are +125 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers. San Diego’s Martin Perez and New York’s Jose Quintana have been named the starters for this contest.

Here is our betting preview for this matchup, and find all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Money Line

Padres to win vs Mets -148

Bet $20, Payout $33.51

Padres vs. Mets Betting Lines

  • Favorite: Padres (-148)
  • Underdog: Mets (+125)
  • Over/under: 7.5

Padres vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been chosen as favorites in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 47 times (57.3%) in those games.
  • San Diego has a record of 24-13 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -148 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 59.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline 51 total times this season. They’ve gone 23-28 in those games.
  • New York has gone 9-6 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +125 or longer (60%).
  • The Mets have a 44.4% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Padres vs. Mets Hitting Leaders

  • Jurickson Profar leads San Diego in home runs with 20 and runs batted in with 77.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Profar is 17th in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging.
  • Jackson Merrill has collected 129 hits this season and has an OBP of .318. He’s slugging .482 on the year.
  • Lindor has racked up a team-best batting average of .269, and leads the Mets in home runs (27) and runs batted in (78).
  • In all of the majors, Lindor ranks 13th in home runs and 19th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 27 home runs.

Padres vs. Mets Pitching Rankings

  • The Padres strike out 9.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-best in MLB.
  • The Padres have pitched to a 3.98 ERA this season, which ranks 15th in baseball.
  • The Padres have a combined WHIP of just 1.230 as a pitching staff, which is the ninth-best in baseball this season.
  • The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 8.9 K/9, the sixth-best in the majors.
  • New York has the 18th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.13).
  • The Mets have the 22nd-ranked WHIP in the majors (1.301).