Padres vs. Marlins Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – August 11, 2024

The Miami Marlins (43-74 look to avoid the sweep when they host the San Diego Padres (65-52) in the final game of a two-game set. Oddsmakers have listed the Padres as -205 favorites, while the Marlins are +170 underdogs to pick up a win. Dylan Cease will get the ball for San Diego while Miami will counter with Max Meyer.

Here is our preview for this contest, and uncover all of our MLB picks, too!

Moneyline

Padres to win vs Marlins -205

Bet $20, Payout $29.76

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Lines

  • Favorite: Padres (-205)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+170)
  • Over/under: 7.5

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 69 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (58%) in those contests.
  • This season San Diego has come away with a win four times in seven chances when named as a favorite of at least -205 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 67.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • The Marlins have gone 39-62 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 38.6% of those games).
  • When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +170 or longer, Miami has gone 8-17 (32%).
  • The Marlins have a 37% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Padres vs. Marlins Hitting Leaders

  • Jurickson Profar is batting .300 this season with a team-high 19 home runs and 71 RBI.
  • Profar’s home runs put him 32nd in baseball, and he ranks 18th in RBI.
  • Jackson Merrill has collected 117 hits this season and has an OBP of .325. He’s slugging .482 on the year.
  • Jake Burger paces the Marlins with 20 home runs and 50 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-high batting average of .242.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Burger’s home run total puts him 26th, and his RBI total ranks 84th.
  • Jesus Sanchez is batting .234 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 23 walks.

Padres vs. Marlins Pitching Rankings

  • The Padres strike out 9.1 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, fourth-best in MLB.
  • Padres pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.97 this year, which ranks 14th in MLB.
  • Padres pitchers have a 1.224 WHIP this season, sixth-best in the majors.
  • The 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Marlins pitching staff ranks 19th in MLB.
  • Miami’s 4.56 team ERA ranks 27th across all MLB pitching staffs.
  • Pitchers for the Marlins combine for the third-worst WHIP in the majors (1.370).