Twins vs. Mets Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – July 31, 2024

The Minnesota Twins (58-48) are -114 moneyline favorites to win Wednesday when they plan to send Pablo Lopez to the mound to face the New York Mets (57-50). Lopez will try to earn his 10th win when the teams hit the field at 1:10 PM ET, live on SNY. Lopez gets the starting nod for Minnesota while Luis Severino is New York’s starter for the contest.

Here is our betting preview for this matchup, and discover all of our MLB betting picks, too!

Twins vs. Mets Betting Lines

• Favorite: Twins (-114)
• Underdog: Mets (-105)
• Over/under: 8.5

Twins vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Twins have been favorites in 71 games this season and have come away with the win 44 times (62%) in those contests.
• This season Minnesota has been victorious 42 times in 69 chances when named as a favorite of at least -114 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 53.3% chance of walking away with the win.
• The Mets have been the moneyline underdog 44 total times this season. They’ve gone 21-23 in those games.
• New York has a 19-19 record (winning 50% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer.
• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 51.2%.

Twins vs. Mets Hitting Leaders

• Carlos Santana has been key for Minnesota with 84 hits, an OBP of .326 plus a slugging percentage of .423.
• Santana’s home runs rank him 71st in MLB, and he is 76th in RBI.
• Willi Castro leads Minnesota in batting with a .259 average while slugging seven homers and driving in 34 runs.
• Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with 22 home runs.
• Among all batters in the majors, Lindor is 15th in homers and 26th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has hit 22 home runs to pace his team.

Twins vs. Mets Pitching Rankings

• The Twins average 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, first-most in the league.
• Twins pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.19 this year, which ranks 21st in MLB.
• The Twins have a combined 1.182 WHIP as a pitching staff, third-lowest in MLB.
• The Mets pitching staff is seventh in the majors with a collective 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings.
• New York has a 4.13 team ERA that ranks 20th among all MLB pitching staffs.
• Pitchers for the Mets combine for the 20th-ranked WHIP in baseball (1.295).