Mets vs. Twins Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – July 30, 2024

The New York Mets (56-50), led by the red-hot Pete Alonso and his two-game homer streak, are -135 favorites to pick up a win over the Minnesota Twins (58-47) Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, live from Citi Field and broadcast on SNY. Sean Manaea will get the ball for New York while Minnesota will counter with David Festa.

Here is our betting primer for this game, and find all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Mets vs. Twins Betting Lines

• Favorite: Mets (-135)
• Underdog: Twins (+114)
• Over/under: 8.5

Mets vs. Twins Betting Insights

• The Mets have been victorious in 32, or 55.2%, of the 58 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season New York has come away with a win 15 times in 25 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 57.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• The Twins have a 13-20 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.4% of those games).
• Minnesota has a 5-9 record (winning only 35.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Twins’ implied win probability is 46.7%.

Mets vs. Twins Hitting Leaders

• Francisco Lindor is batting .256 this season with a team-high 22 home runs.
• Among hitters in MLB, Lindor is 14th in home runs and 26th in RBI.
• Alonso is slugging .472 this season, with a team-best 22 homers while driving in 57 runs.
• Carlos Santana is hitting .243 with 20 doubles, 14 home runs and 38 walks.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Santana ranks 67th in homers and 72nd in RBI.
• Willi Castro’s .261 batting average paces his team.

Mets vs. Twins Pitching Rankings

• The Mets have an 8.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, fifth-best in baseball.
• Mets pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.17 this year, which ranks 20th in MLB.
• Mets pitchers have a 1.303 WHIP this season, 21st in the majors.
• The pitching staff for the Twins has a collective 9.2 K/9 to pace MLB.
• Minnesota has a 4.21 team ERA that ranks 21st across all MLB pitching staffs.
• Pitchers for the Twins combine for the No. 3-ranked WHIP in MLB (1.186).