Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Odds, Pitching Matchup – July 4, 2024

The Boston Red Sox (45-39), led by Connor Wong on a 16-game hitting streak, will meet the Miami Marlins (30-55) Thursday at LoanDepot park. The Red Sox are -165 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 1:10 PM ET on BSFL. Boston’s Nick Pivetta gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Kyle Tyler.

Be sure to check out our betting primer for this contest, and find all of our expert MLB picks, too!

Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Lines

• Favorite: Red Sox (-165)
• Underdog: Marlins (+140)
• Over/under: 8

Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have won in 23, or 54.8%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• Boston has a record of 5-2 when favored by -165 or more this year.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 62.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• The Marlins have won 27 of the 71 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (38%).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer, Miami has gone 10-21 (32.3%).
• The Marlins have a 41.7% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Red Sox vs. Marlins Hitting Leaders

• Jarren Duran has been key for Boston with 100 hits, an OBP of .351 plus a slugging percentage of .497.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Duran’s home run total ranks him 79th and his RBI tally ranks him 60th.
• Rafael Devers is batting .288 with 18 home runs and 47 RBI, all three of which lead Boston this season.
• Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with a team-best batting average of .256.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Chisholm ranks 79th in home runs and 70th in RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz’s 15 home runs and 40 RBI both pace his team.

Red Sox vs. Marlins Pitching Rankings

• The Red Sox average 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-most in the league.
• Red Sox pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.62 this year, seventh-best in baseball.
• The Red Sox have a combined 1.188 WHIP as a pitching staff, sixth-lowest in MLB.
• The 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Marlins pitching staff ranks 23rd in the majors.
• Miami’s 4.58 team ERA ranks 27th across all MLB pitching staffs.
• The Marlins average baseball’s fifth-worst WHIP (1.359).