Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Conference Finals Game 1 betting odds and trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4.5-point favorites for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at Target Center on Wednesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The over/under in the matchup is set at 207.

Be sure to check out our betting primer for this game, and find all of our predictions of NBA games, too!

Spread

Timberwolves Cover -4.5 vs Mavericks -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Lines and Game Info

  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 22, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT and truTV
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center
  • Favorite: Timberwolves (-4.5)
  • Total: 207

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Statistics

  • In the Timberwolves’ 82 games this year, they have 40 wins against the spread.
  • So far this season, Minnesota has been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 41 times and are 20-20-1 ATS in those matchups.
  • Timberwolves games this year have hit the over 41 times in 82 opportunities (50%).
  • The Mavericks have played 82 games, with 48 wins against the spread.
  • Dallas is 4-7 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
  • Mavericks games this year have hit the over on 36 of 82 set point totals (43.9%).

Want to place a bet on the NBA tonight? Check out all of our reviews of New Jersey sportsbooks.

Timberwolves Trends & Top Players

  • The Timberwolves make 48.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is one percentage point higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (47.5%).
  • Minnesota is 32-19-1 against the spread and 44-8 overall when it shoots better than 47.5% from the field.
  • Minnesota has collected a 24-21-3 record against the spread and a 37-11 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 36.8% of its three-point shots.
  • The 113 points per game the Timberwolves put up are just 2.6 fewer points than the Mavericks allow (115.6).
  • Minnesota has a 23-9-1 record against the spread and a 29-4 record overall when putting up more than 115.6 points.
  • The scoring leader for the Timberwolves this season is Anthony Edwards (among active players), who averages 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game.
  • Mike Conley is averaging 11.4 points, 5.9 assists and 2.9 rebounds a game, while Rudy Gobert adds 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per outing.
  • Edwards makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Timberwolves, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.4 per contest.

Mavericks Trends & Top Players

  • The Mavericks have shot at a 48.1% rate from the field this season, 3.1 percentage points above the 45% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
  • Dallas has compiled a 44-17 record against the spread and a 46-15 straight up record in games it shoots above 45% from the field.
  • Dallas is 34-11 against the spread and 33-12 overall when shooting over 35.4% as a team from three-point range.
  • The Mavericks put up an average of 117.9 points per game, 11.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves allow.
  • Dallas is 47-23 against the spread and 49-21 overall when it scores more than 106.5 points.
  • Luka Doncic scores 33.9 points per game, while also pulling down 9.2 rebounds and racking up 9.8 assists per game.
  • Doncic is the most prolific from deep for the Mavericks (among active players), hitting 4.1 threes per game.