Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA Playoffs Game 6 betting odds and trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves are slight 2.5-point favorites for a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Thursday, tipping off at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Nuggets lead the series 3-2. The matchup’s over/under is set at 206.

Be sure to check out our betting preview for this contest, and find all of our expert NBA predictions, too!

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Timberwolves Cover -2.5 vs Nuggets -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Lines and Game Info

  • Game Day: Thursday, May 16, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center
  • Favorite: Timberwolves (-2.5)
  • Total: 206
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Statistics

  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 40-39-3 this year.
  • This season, Minnesota has an against the spread record of 23-27-3 in its 53 games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
  • Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals.
  • Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-41-3 this year.
  • So far this season, Denver has been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more six times and are 3-3 ATS in those contests.
  • The Nuggets have gone over the point total 42.7% of the time this year (35 of 82 games with a set point total).

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Timberwolves Trends & Top Players

  • The Timberwolves make 48.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.3 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (46.2%).
  • In games Minnesota shoots higher than 46.2% from the field, it is 36-23-1 against the spread and 47-13 overall.
  • Minnesota is 27-24-3 against the spread and 40-14 overall when it shoots better than 35.5% from distance.
  • The Timberwolves put up only 3.4 more points per game (113) than the Nuggets allow (109.6).
  • Minnesota is 35-17-1 against the spread and 43-10 overall when scoring more than 109.6 points.
  • The scoring leader for the Timberwolves this season is Anthony Edwards (among active players), who averages 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game.
  • Mike Conley contributes with 11.4 points, 5.9 assists and 2.9 rebounds a game, and Rudy Gobert adds 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per matchup.
  • The Timberwolves get 2.4 three-pointers per game out of Edwards.

Nuggets Trends & Top Players

  • The Nuggets are shooting 49.6% from the field, 4.6% higher than the 45% the Timberwolves’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Denver is 37-25-2 against the spread and 53-11 overall when it shoots higher than 45% from the field.
  • Denver is 29-18-1 against the spread and 37-11 overall when shooting above 35.4% as a team from three-point range.
  • The Nuggets average 8.4 more points per game (114.9) than the Timberwolves allow (106.5).
  • Denver is 35-26-2 against the spread and 53-10 overall when it scores more than 106.5 points.
  • Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points per game. He also records 12.4 rebounds and dishes out 9.0 assists per game.
  • Michael Porter Jr. is dependable from distance with 2.7 made threes per game.